Nationwide bestseller! Number two
with a bullet! Box-office smash! Popularity and the
economics of profit go hand-in-hand. Bestseller lists in the
world of books, top 40 charts for music, weekly ratings of
television shows, and Hollywood reports on movie box-office
receipts not only provide us with a barometer on our popular
culture, but also serve an important marketing purpose.
Take book bestseller lists as an example. A book that makes
it to the top of the New York Times bestseller list can
proudly display "#1 New York Times Bestseller"
on its book jacket. The publishers hope that you will be in a
bookstore, see the book, and think, "If everyone else is
reading it and buying it, then why aren't I?"
There are many book bestseller lists, but the most widely
discussed and quoted lists appear in the weekly New York
Times Book Review. When those lists change, it's news. In
late July of 2000, the New York Times restructured its
bestseller lists for the first time in 16 years. Among the
changes was the addition of children's book lists. And the
reason for the changes was... Harry Potter.
Up until the change in the New York Times bestseller
lists, its main bestseller list for fiction had been dominated
by the books in the Harry Potter series by J. K. Rowling. Not
coincidentally, the New York Times made the change just
as the fourth book in the series was being released. Creating
the children's bestseller lists meant that the New York Times
could move the Harry Potter books off the "main"
hardcover fiction list and onto the new children's list.
In an interview with the Boston Globe, New York
Times Book Review editor Charles McGrath gave this reason
for the changes, "The sales and popularity of children's
books can rival and, in the case of the Harry Potter books, even
exceed those of adult books. With a separate children's list, we
can more fully represent what people are reading, and we can
clear more room on the adult list for adult books."
Supporters of the move — particularly publishers other than
Harry Potter publisher, Scholastic Press — were happy to see
the hardcover fiction list opened up for different books (i.e.
their books).
Not everyone was convinced. Critics claimed that the New
York Times was out of touch with the public, that a large
percentage of the series' readers were adults, and that any
books that sold as well as the Harry Potter books deserved to be
on the main bestseller list. But the list changes remained and,
rather than Harry Potter appearing in four of the top ten spots
in the main hardcover fiction list, Harry Potter
"disappeared" onto the children's lists.
Teaching the Problem
Some book bestseller lists, such as the one published
in USA Today, represent the raw data of actual book
sales. But raw numerical data isn't the only way to represent
something's popularity. The New York Times
"weights" its list, so that the numbers are an
interpretation of the raw data. The Nielsen ratings tell how
many people viewed a particular television show as a percentage
of all possible viewers watching television at that hour and on
that day. And we hear about how successful or popular movies are
when the movie industry tells us how much money the movie
"raked in" at the box office. In non-Hollywood terms,
the "gross" represents how many people bought tickets
to see that movie, expressed as the total amount of money those
people spent for those tickets.
Students can learn about collecting and representing data in
the following Destination Math activities from the MSC V module,
Fundamental Statistics:
- Exploring
Bar Graphs: Students compare sales data for a single
product from five different cities and display the data on a
bar graph. Ask students how they would translate the bar
graph to a list. The session's workout questions deal with
number of households watching the top four news programs.
Ask the students to make a TV rating list based on the data
given in the workout.
Analyzing the
Problem
- Have students read the article, "Why
'Harry Potter' did a Harry Houdini" and compare the
data source of the New York Times bestseller list
with that of Amazon.com's "Hot 100" list. Here are
questions they may want to consider:
- Are these two bestseller lists drawing on similar
samples? How are the samples similar? How are they
different?
- How might the differences in the sample sets affect
the raw data?
- Have students look at the Publishers Weekly
article, "Bestsellers
of 1999—Hardcover: So Far, Little Has Changed."
At the bottom of the article, they will find a fiction and a
nonfiction list of the top 15 hardcover sellers in 1999.
Draw a bar chart for each of the lists.
- Have students examine this week's USA
Today's Top 150 best-selling books list and answer these
questions:
- Can you draw a bar chart representing the top 10
sellers? Why or why not?
- If the #1 book has been on the list for 2 weeks, and
the #2 book has been on the list for 4 weeks, can you
determine which book has sold more copies? Why or why
not?
- Does the number of book sales correspond to numbers of
readers? Why not? (Hint: Do you buy every book
you read?)